Yeah population helps.
Texas
Total Population - 28,797,290
Houston, TX - 2,303,482
DFW Metroplex, TX - 2,172,042
San Antonio, TX - 1,492,510
Austin, TX - 947,890
El Paseo, TX - 683,080
Florida
Total population - 20,636,975
Jacksonville, FL - 880,619
Miami, FL - 453,579
Missouri
Total population - 5,988,927
Kansas City - 481,420
St. Louis - 315,000
Texas has cities with almost the same total population as the entire state of Missouri, of course they will have talent available.
This kind of claptrap is often written by people who have no earthly clue what they are talking about.
Here’s the deal, Florida has roughly four times the population as Missouri. But a large number of people who are residents are older and live there part time. There are more people who own a second residence in Florida than the rest of the country combined. Many, but not all, of those people count towards the state’s population.
For example, in 2015, Florida had 2.7 million high school students while Missouri had roughly one million. So, Florida has four times the population as Missouri, but it only has 2.7 times as many students as Missouri.
That’s because, like I said earlier, Florida has the oldest population in the country and a large number of transient residents who would be unlikely to be enrolled in school. A much smaller percentage of its population is high school aged. Hello?
Still, lets just go by the pure numbers. There are 20 million people in Fla. and there are six million in Missouri. There are 700 players in Florida’s 2018 class that currently hold an Division I FCS offer. About 40 of those are kids from out of state attending IMG or another similar academy.
Missouri ranks 32nd in D1 players produced in relation to its population. The state has six million residents and 24 players who currently hold a Division I offer. Florida has nearly 30 times as many kids who hold an offer as Missouri, but 4 times its population.
As I’ve posted here before, Ft. Lauderdale, a city with an insanely high number of part time residents among its 180K population, has more kids with an offer in the 2018 class as the entire state of Missouri despite having fewer high school students than Springfield and Columbia.
The key factors here are A) Football Culture B) Spring Football C) WEATHER!!
Look at the other states at the top of this list (
http://www.rankbyoffers.com/statefbranking/): Georgia, Alabama, Louisiana and Mississippi (actually all rank ahead of Texas in the number of Division I football players they produce per their population). It’s just reality. In those state’s kids are outside all winter and all fall and all spring.
I spend significant time in south Florida, and there is a joke in Miami that you can drive by any football stadium any time of day any time of year and there will be people on it working out. My friends and I literally look at the HS football field off the interstate on the way to Biscayne Bay every time we’re down there as you drive by after leaving the airport and there will be people on the field working out at 1 a.m. in February. I’m not making that up. In the 10 years I have been traveling there, we have never driven by that field and not seen someone working out. Of course, we’ve never driven by during a hurricane or crazy weather, but the point still stands.
Part of that is the amount of space available per the population, there are far, far fewer fields per person so people take the space when they can get it ... But a big part of it is the weather. I used to drive by my HS field in Missouri every day on my way home from work at 1 a.m. and I never saw anyone working out in February. And I would say my former HS is more dedicated than most.
The level of play and the amount of talent being produced has nothing to do with population. People are a product of their environment. A lot of kids in those southern states see football as a way out and have a unique kind of desperation that you can't relate to until you're around it and experience it, and kids are outside year round.