Iowa exit poll for 2016

[Neutron Monster]

Originally posted by 3Rfan:
Neither Romney nor Bush will appeal to the hard right of the party but anyone they would nominate has very little chance in the general. They will at some point have to acknowledge that if they want the White House among their prizes. Scout says they should never give in and nominate somebody like that just to their foot in the door.

I think there are electable people to the right of Romney and Jeb. They're just not the ones who get a lot of play in the right wing media. Carson, Cruz, Bachmann, and the other media darlings are generally unelectable. Those guys are sound bite machines and nothing more. But, someone like Scott Walker? I think he has a chance. I think Rubio has a chance, too, if he gets to the general election.

You can win a Presidency being more conservative than Jeb or Romney; you just have a run a campaign that isn't focused on being the most right-wing President in the history of America.

The challenge is, I don't know how easy it is to win a Republican primary while keeping yourself clean enough for the general. This was a problem for Romney.

 

[millerbleach]

Originally posted by Neutron Monster:

I think Mitt's biggest problem is that he and Jeb Bush are fighting for the same set of primary voters and money. His road to the nomination would be tougher this time. That and the fact that the Rs have better candidates than him.

That was my initial reaction but hope it happens. It's no secret there are two wings of the party. Without Romney, Jeb has one wing to himself (unless Christie runs). The conservative side has numerous possibilities and dilute the money pool available. Romney would even that up and is more conservative than Jeb. His name isn't Bush either. I think Romney would win the establishment vote.

 

[vbsideout]

The things that cost Romney last time will not just go away! He is a 1%er and is really just not what the right is looking for. I think Scott Walker might be their man.

 

[Neutron Monster]

Christie hurts both of them, yes, and I do think he will run.

I have no clue how that will all sort out.

 

[Neutron Monster]

I felt it was more than he ran a lousy campaign and the republican brand hurt him. He came out of the primary with too much baggage.

How is mitt's money a big problem in 2016 when the likely D candidate has made 100 M+ over the past 15 years?

 

[vbsideout]

Because he has spent most of his life moving it around and avoiding paying taxes and the fact that I do not want Hilary to run