The Only Corona I Care About
- Thread starter Veerman_12
- Start date
The mortality rate of the Spanish Flu pandemic of 1918-20 was about 2.5%, about the same as the coronavirus. While that sounds like a relatively small number, those of us old enough remember hearing family stories of everyone knowing of family, friends, and neighbors who lost someone, including my 13 yr old uncle.
While I'm not predicting this is the "Big One", we do have a false sense of security that modern medicine can prevent another Spanish flu in the US. Pandemics have occurred throughout the history of mankind and we are foolish to believe it won't happen again. I personally believe it is Mother Nature's way of controlling overpopulation.
While I'm not predicting this is the "Big One", we do have a false sense of security that modern medicine can prevent another Spanish flu in the US. Pandemics have occurred throughout the history of mankind and we are foolish to believe it won't happen again. I personally believe it is Mother Nature's way of controlling overpopulation.
Obvious Man strikes again.
2.5% is similar to .3%? I mean I guess, in that they're both numbers.
Estimates I've seen put the rate about 2.5%. It's way too early to put a number on other places outside of China.
The World Health Organization is putting the rate at .3% to 1%. Idk where you're getting your info, but I'll go ahead and trust the WHO.
Please read carefully. That's based on CONFIRMED cases. There are LIKELY tons of cases that go unreported due to being relatively mild in severity meaning the statistical probability is the actual numbers are under 1%.
Yeah, you sure got me...my argument remains the same
LOL yeah, Veer used his invented "LIKELY tons of cases that go unreported" numbers to fit his calculations. Now that is some creative math.
Do you go go to the hospital and get checked out EVERY TIME you have a cough, sneeze, or have a mild headache?
In some (a lot) of these cases, symptoms are so mild that they come and go without ever being diagnosed with coronavirus. People just think "oh I had a cough for a few days".
Estimates are saying 80% of cases are so mild people don't even realize they have it.
I'm not looking for an apology, I don't care what you think, statistical modeling is kind of my thing, so keep trying to be "right" for the message board if you want, it doesn't matter to me. The math says you're wrong.
https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-80-percent-cases-are-mild-2020-2
- Of confirmed cases, the majority are mild, 20% require hospitalization, and 1-2% die. However we do not know many people are infected that have NO symptoms or have only mild cold/flu symptoms.
I don't know how many times and how many reliable sources you want me to use, but I can prove my point OVER and OVER and OVER...
So 1-2% die.....hmmm..... 2.5% is closer to 1-2% than .3%....LOL..we're dealing with hypotheticals and unknown variables, so there really isn't a correct answer.
I saw a guy interviewed this morning who had tested positive after getting off the cruise ship. Said he's never got sick at all but is being detained. Said his wife tested positive before leaving the ship and had to stay in Japan. She now tests negative and has never been sick. This is WAY overblown.
If they weren't on that ship, they would have never even been tested......but they had it so, how many of those are in the equation?
If they weren't on that ship, they would have never even been tested......but they had it so, how many of those are in the equation?
No.
1-2% of CONFIRMED CASES die.
Only approximately 20% of cases are actually confirmed.
Stop trying to be a weasel, admit that:
1. You have no idea what you're talking about.
2. You were repeatedly WRONG.
3. You're sorry for being a troll and arguing stuff you don't understand just for the sake of arguing.
That's the entire point I've been making. Estimates are that only 20% of ALL cases will even exhibit symptoms. Of that 20% only 20% will be bad enough to be hospitalized. Of that 20% only 1-2% will die.
Kaskaskia is trying to make it sound like 2-3% of ALL cases will die, which is mathematically just wrong. Like I said the last estimate I saw said there is a .3% to 1% chance of dying from coronavirus, and those numbers are still possibly skewed because the death rate in rural China is 5-8%.
The only thing Kaskaskia has said correctly (in his attempt to backtrack) is that there are a lot of variables.
"Approximately", "Estimated", "Possibly" = not one damn fact you have stated, just a bunch of hypotheticals. You're hilarious!! Keep trying.
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Yes, because anyone who knows anything about statistical modeling knows there's no such thing as a "sure thing". But I'm done arguing with you. I've more than proven my point.
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