C3 Top enrollment possible C4 in 2025

[cardsfan200306]

Enrollment for C4 was 492 prior to champ factor, after champ factor it settled at 514
So who are the top C3 schools and what is their trending enrollment lets take a look

1 St. Clair 507, no change YOY was 523 2 years ago. ( not a high growth area imagine similar enrollment and bubble team for next 5 years)
2 Potosi 506 enrollment down 8 from 2023 but was on steady increase prior. (town has always been a 3 4 bubble depending on birth rate as their is no town growth.)
3 Benton 497 down 20 YOY but had been relatively stable prior
4 Fulton 494 down 26 YOY
5 Odessa 492 down 12 YOY had been slowly increasing prior

these middle classes get a lot of fluctuation due to the champ factor. I believe Vianney is taking a C4 spot next year down from C6 for this reason

 

[cardsfan200306]

@HBL Pirates fan_1990 hope this is what you were looking for

 

[Mitsurugi san]

Holy cow, is that really how small the top of class 3 is these days???

 

[cardsfan200306]

Holy cow, is that really how small the top of class 3 is these days???

yep

 

[HBL Pirates fan_1990]

Enrollment for C4 was 492 prior to champ factor, after champ factor it settled at 514
So who are the top C3 schools and what is their trending enrollment lets take a look

1 St. Clair 507, no change YOY was 523 2 years ago. ( not a high growth area imagine similar enrollment and bubble team for next 5 years)
2 Potosi 506 enrollment down 8 from 2023 but was on steady increase prior. (town has always been a 3 4 bubble depending on birth rate as their is no town growth.)
3 Benton 497 down 20 YOY but had been relatively stable prior
4 Fulton 494 down 26 YOY
5 Odessa 492 down 12 YOY had been slowly increasing prior

these middle classes get a lot of fluctuation due to the champ factor. I believe Vianney is taking a C4 spot next year down from C6 for this reason

Yep thank you. Hopefully someday C4 can get more competitive like it use too. Kearney and Lutheran North are the top 2 and I don’t know anyone that can top both of them.

Good thing is 2027 could be the year where both Helias and MICDS be back depends on how many points they secured in the next 2 seasons

 

[cardsfan200306]

Helias i think is 1 or 2 guaranteed this year so i think they stay C5, as they most likely easily win districts this and next year which is enough to stay

MICDS is dropping 3 but almost guaranteed to pick up 2 if not more this year.

I imagine both stay. my guess is in 2027 Lutheran North is back to C3 unless they have C3 enrollment, Id also venture that Kearney is C5 by 2027 as well

 

[TadQueasy]

What makes you say that about Kearney? Their enrollment number has stayed pretty consistent for the last few years. 900 is the break for Class 5 and they like 80 away from that

 

[HBL Pirates fan_1990]

Helias i think is 1 or 2 guaranteed this year so i think they stay C5, as they most likely easily win districts this and next year which is enough to stay

MICDS is dropping 3 but almost guaranteed to pick up 2 if not more this year.

I imagine both stay. my guess is in 2027 Lutheran North is back to C3 unless they have C3 enrollment, Id also venture that Kearney is C5 by 2027 as well

Lutheran North is stuck in C4. No way they can jump that much in enrollment and also plus LN will get 2-4 points every year

I’m just ready for the Class Release of the 2025 season. everybody might be shock to see rockhurst possibly go down to 5 next year

 

[cardsfan200306]

What makes you say that about Kearney? Their enrollment number has stayed pretty consistent for the last few years. 900 is the break for Class 5 and they like 80 away from that

Kearney has stayed on enrollment the last few years although the town has grown considerably. It has been younger families however those kids grow up. Also don't forget K was at the initial break before champ factor.

 

[cardsfan200306]

Lutheran North is stuck in C4. No way they can jump that much in enrollment and also plus LN will get 2-4 points every year

I’m just ready for the Class Release of the 2025 season. everybody might be shock to see rockhurst possibly go down to 5 next year

LN gets max of 2 this year and would need to make it back to semis next year to do the same. They drop 6 points in next 2 years and are most likely replacing them with 4-5 and they currently sit at 9. Therefore they would have to play in champ game next year if K knocks them off in semis this year or they will be back to a 1 class bump and back to 3