Big 8 Week 6 Pick em

[bullitpdq68]

Aurora 1-4 @ Mac County 0-5
Monett 1-4 @ the Newt 2-3
Seneca 5-0 @ Carl Junction 4-1
cAssville 2-3 @ Mt Vernon 4-1
Nevada 4-1 @ Lamar 3-2 The Silver Tiger

 

[Veer2Eternity]

Aurora 1-4 @ Mac County 0-5
Monett 1-4 @ the Newt 2-3
Seneca 5-0 @ Carl Junction 4-1
cAssville 2-3 @ Mt Vernon 4-1
Nevada 4-1 @ Lamar 3-2 The Silver Tiger

Aurora
Newt
Seneca
MV
Nevada

 

[indians03]

Aurora
EN
Seneca
MV
Nevada

 

[NOMOCA]

Mac County
East Newton
Seneca
Mt Vernon
Nevada

 

[TadQueasy]

Mac County
the Newt
Seneca
Mt Vernon
Lamar

 

[golfindude]

Aurora
East Newton
Seneca
MV
Nevada

 

[Jr4038]

Mac
Monett
Seneca
MV
Nevada

 

[I2R I]

Aurora
EN
Seneca
MV
Nevada

 

[Ftballfan16]

Aurora
Monett
Seneca
MV
Lamar

 

[HAWKS4LIFE]

MC
EN
Seneca
MV
Nevada

 

[swmotiger1997]

Aurora
East Newton
Carl Junction
Mt Vernon
Nevada

 

[MoSooner69]

Aurora
EN
Seneca
Mt Vernon
Lamar

 

[Title-run06]

Mac county
East newton
Seneca
Mount Vernon
Lamar

 

[CalvinCandie]

Aurora 1-4 @ Mac County 0-5
Monett 1-4 @ the Newt 2-3
Seneca 5-0 @ Carl Junction 4-1
cAssville 2-3 @ Mt Vernon 4-1
Nevada 4-1 @ Lamar 3-2 The Silver Tiger

Aurora
EN
CJ
MV
Lamar

 

[AC100]

Aurora 21-14
East Newton 28-21
Seneca 28-20
Mount Vernon 35-7
Lamar 21-14

 

[Wsquirrel15]

Aurora
EN
Seneca
Cassville
Nevada

 

[ChaoticFanatic]

Aurora
the Newt
Seneca
Mt Vernon
Nevada

 

[Craig Hull]

Aurora at McDonald County -- Aurora 20-13
Monett at East Newton -- East Newton 27-13
Seneca at Carl Junction -- PASS
Cassville at Mount Vernon -- Mount Vernon 42-14
Nevada at Lamar -- Lamar 28-27

 

[mosofan]

Aurora
East Newton
Seneca
Mount Vernon
Nevada

 

[revno]

Mac
East Newton
Seneca
MV
Nevada

 

[bullitpdq68]

Aurora
Monett
Seneca
Mt Vernon
Nevada Could this finally be Nevada's Year to take back the Silver tiger? How long has it been

 

[J. Kane]

Aurora
Monett
Seneca
Mt Vernon
Nevada Could this finally be Nevada's Year to take back the Silver tiger? How long has it been

 

[trumanbulldog42]

Calpreps Projections

Aurora 24 @ Mac County 14
Monett 31 @ the Newt 35
Seneca 48 @ Carl Junction 19
Cassville 7 @ Mt Vernon 35
Nevada 24 @ Lamar 26

 

[carthagefan2006]

Aurora 21-16
Granby 48-38
Seneca 42-14
Mount Vernon 34-10
Nevada 36-34 (OT)

 

[blkdayz]

Aurora
EN
Seneca
MV
Nevada

 

[AC100]

I ran some of these projections and it had Seneca beating Republic and only losing to Nixa by 14. This thing really loves Seneca.

 

[AC100]

It also has Seneca beating Blair Oaks by 13.

 

[trumanbulldog42]

I mean they have some impressive wins, however, it has always made really good smaller school probably a bit too competitive with bigger schools. That's probably the biggest error I've seen in these projections. It's like the algorithm barely takes into account the difference in quality of athletes between small and big schools

 

[Veer2Eternity]

I mean they have some impressive wins, however, it has always made really good smaller school probably a bit too competitive with bigger schools. That's probably the biggest error I've seen in these projections. It's like the algorithm barely takes into account the difference in quality of athletes between small and big schools

any algorithm that takes 'class' into account is going to be meh at best.

 

[trumanbulldog42]

any algorithm that takes 'class' into account is going to be meh at best.

Ik what you mean, but since it doesn't take size into account, it is always going to have the small schools be way better than they actually are. For instance, right now it has Webb as the 49th best team in the state and Maryville at 50 with a projected score of Webb 28 and Maryville 24. Ummmmm sorry but no. that is not close to how that would play out

 

[AC100]

Kearney 35
Seneca 28

 

[trumanbulldog42]

any algorithm that takes 'class' into account is going to be meh at best.

Another example is Warsaw ranked 58 and Camdenton 68. that game would be a blowout win for Camdenton every single time but the algorithm is skewed towards small schools. Not saying I know how to fix it because I do not

 

[Veer2Eternity]

Another example is Warsaw ranked 58 and Camdenton 68. that game would be a blowout win for Camdenton every single time but the algorithm is skewed towards small schools. Not saying I know how to fix it because I do not

Warsaw hasnt played bigger schools im pretty sure.

What i mean is playing a horrible class 5 team that would lose to most class 1 JVs and getting huge points for that.

Use a model like Sagarins that takes the important stuff into account.

Like how good your team actually is.

 

[AC100]

Warsaw hasnt played bigger schools im pretty sure.

What i mean is playing a horrible class 5 team that would lose to most class 1 JVs and getting huge points for that.

Use a model like Sagarins that takes the important stuff into account.

Like how good your team actually is.

Let's leave Springfield Central out of this.

 

[trumanbulldog42]

Warsaw hasnt played bigger schools im pretty sure.

What i mean is playing a horrible class 5 team that would lose to most class 1 JVs and getting huge points for that.

Use a model like Sagarins that takes the important stuff into account.

Like how good your team actually is.

Yeah, how dare you talk about Central and Windsor (Imperial)!! lol

I get what youre saying

 

[MoSooner69]

I ran some of these projections and it had Seneca beating Republic and only losing to Nixa by 14. This thing really loves Seneca.

not sure that is too far fetched. They are really good

 

[J. Kane]

not sure that is too far fetched. They are really good

 

[trumanbulldog42]

not sure that is too far fetched. They are really good

Really good, yes. Within 14 of Nixa? I've got a better chance with Tay Tay

 

[bullitpdq68]

 

[mugriswold]

Aurora
Monett
Seneca
Mt Vernon
Lamar