2023 Mock Draft Analyst Accuracy

[trumanbulldog42]

The following are the accuracies of each of the Mock draft analysts for the 2023 first round. Anything after the first round I can't really blame anyone for getting wrong.

Vinny Iyer's: 5/31 correct
Mel Kiper's: 1.5/31 correct (not sure where they got the 0.5)
Daniel Jeremiah's: 6.5/31 correct
Todd McShay's: 4/31 correct
Dane Brugler's: 4.5/31 correct
Peter King's: 2.5/31 correct

As suspected, none of them were even close. Also as expected, Mel Kiper's was the worst. I really do not know why he is the one that they have chosen to be the "expert" for the draft. I've never understood it. I always found McShay's to be much more helpful and reliable but I will take a much deeper dive on another post either later today or tomorrow.

 

[BoosterBosko]

The following are the accuracies of each of the Mock draft analysts for the 2023 first round. Anything after the first round I can't really blame anyone for getting wrong.

Vinny Iyer's: 5/31 correct
Mel Kiper's: 1.5/31 correct (not sure where they got the 0.5)
Daniel Jeremiah's: 6.5/31 correct
Todd McShay's: 4/31 correct
Dane Brugler's: 4.5/31 correct
Peter King's: 2.5/31 correct

As suspected, none of them were even close. Also as expected, Mel Kiper's was the worst. I really do not know why he is the one that they have chosen to be the "expert" for the draft. I've never understood it. I always found McShay's to be much more helpful and reliable but I will take a much deeper dive on another post either later today or tomorrow.

Great work here! I have always been curious on this as well. According to your early data, Vinny Iyer is the most "accurate"!? Wouldnt have expected that.

 

[cardsfan200306]

The following are the accuracies of each of the Mock draft analysts for the 2023 first round. Anything after the first round I can't really blame anyone for getting wrong.

Vinny Iyer's: 5/31 correct
Mel Kiper's: 1.5/31 correct (not sure where they got the 0.5)
Daniel Jeremiah's: 6.5/31 correct
Todd McShay's: 4/31 correct
Dane Brugler's: 4.5/31 correct
Peter King's: 2.5/31 correct

As suspected, none of them were even close. Also as expected, Mel Kiper's was the worst. I really do not know why he is the one that they have chosen to be the "expert" for the draft. I've never understood it. I always found McShay's to be much more helpful and reliable but I will take a much deeper dive on another post either later today or tomorrow.

wasnt there a yahoo analyst like 1-4 years ago nail 12 of first 13.

i thought i read that somewhere

 

[cardsfan200306]

The following are the accuracies of each of the Mock draft analysts for the 2023 first round. Anything after the first round I can't really blame anyone for getting wrong.

Vinny Iyer's: 5/31 correct
Mel Kiper's: 1.5/31 correct (not sure where they got the 0.5)
Daniel Jeremiah's: 6.5/31 correct
Todd McShay's: 4/31 correct
Dane Brugler's: 4.5/31 correct
Peter King's: 2.5/31 correct

As suspected, none of them were even close. Also as expected, Mel Kiper's was the worst. I really do not know why he is the one that they have chosen to be the "expert" for the draft. I've never understood it. I always found McShay's to be much more helpful and reliable but I will take a much deeper dive on another post either later today or tomorrow.

i also read that brendan donahue is the most or 2nd most accurate in last 5 years but he isnt a yahoo guy.

 

[65TPT]

Bigger question to me is who actually gets the prospects correct. How does Brock Purdy go in the 7th round or Nacua in the 5th? With all the scouts, all the professionals, how does no one identify the talent? Yet every year we have half the 1st round turn into busts.

 

[trumanbulldog42]

Bigger question to me is who actually gets the prospects correct. How does Brock Purdy go in the 7th round or Nacua in the 5th? With all the scouts, all the professionals, how does no one identify the talent? Yet every year we have half the 1st round turn into busts.

QB is almost impossible because you can never tell how well they process information. Very few college systems require them to truly read progressions like they do in the pros. As far as receivers, the only thing I can come up with is that they have trouble taking into account the quality of opposition that they are playing against, otherwise players like Nacua or Tyreek Hill wouldn't fall the way they did in their respective drafts. Just a couple thoughts but I honestly don't know for sure.

 

[65TPT]

QB is almost impossible because you can never tell how well they process information. Very few college systems require them to truly read progressions like they do in the pros. As far as receivers, the only thing I can come up with is that they have trouble taking into account the quality of opposition that they are playing against, otherwise players like Nacua or Tyreek Hill wouldn't fall the way they did in their respective drafts. Just a couple thoughts but I honestly don't know for sure.

Very true statements. I'm always just shocked with guys like that that come in as rookies and play the way they do but were drafted low. I understand guys that don't really blossom until 3-4 years in the league that were picked lower. But look how the Rams rebuilt their Defense with young guys and only 1 of them was a 1st rounder. It just amazes me how some teams can get the draft so right and others so wrong.