I'll go with Vashon because of the discipline but not by much. If Vashon gets the lead in the 4th quarter, game over. If Hazelwood Central gets the lead in the 4th quarter, the Hawks will continue their assault on the basket given the Wolverines a chance.
The Third place game should be a good one as well. C. Gordon thinks he's a guard now which hurts Vianney in their offensive set. When C Gordon plays his normal position and injured guard Zack Colletta plays in the third place game, I give a 10 point edge to Vianney however Belleville West has very good inside game with 6'6 Junior and 6'6" Freshman EJ Liddell could cause problem for the host Vianney.