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Upset picks going into Playoffs?

quadzilla200

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Feb 21, 2020
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I only know KC so here are my upset picks that I think are a possibility. 810varsity has preliminary playoffs laid out if you are interested.

Class 6- Ray Pec beats Nixa in second round.
Class 5- NKC in a second round upset of either Fort or Oak Park. Just lost to both in close games and will want revenge.
Class 4- Really want to pick Center in sectional upset of Smithville/Kearney but I've seen how well coached both are and they will be prepared. Kearney over St.Marys is my upset pick even though I don't personally think that is an upset.
Class 3- District 8 winner knocks out Pleasant Hill in sectionals.
Class 2- Lafayette County wins state championship.
Class 1- Don't follow close enough.
 
I only know KC so here are my upset picks that I think are a possibility. 810varsity has preliminary playoffs laid out if you are interested.

Class 6- Ray Pec beats Nixa in second round.
Class 5- NKC in a second round upset of either Fort or Oak Park. Just lost to both in close games and will want revenge.
Class 4- Really want to pick Center in sectional upset of Smithville/Kearney but I've seen how well coached both are and they will be prepared. Kearney over St.Marys is my upset pick even though I don't personally think that is an upset.
Class 3- District 8 winner knocks out Pleasant Hill in sectionals.
Class 2- Lafayette County wins state championship.
Class 1- Don't follow close enough.
Waiting to see some pivotal games this next week (going to Oak Park at Fort Osage). SWMO locks their teams into conference play it is near impossible to tell what happens when they leave the region. I don't like NKC's offense enough to pick them. Really, really liked what I saw if briefly at Kearney the other night but know St. Mary's is a whole other level of HSFB but NO team is invincible they certainly have shown that out of state and CBC got bombed by ESL so "think" they could be had in the right circumstances, too.

The huge wild card in all HSFB come November/December is the WEATHER. We are all way overdue for some adversity in that regard.
 
Waiting to see some pivotal games this next week (going to Oak Park at Fort Osage). SWMO locks their teams into conference play it is near impossible to tell what happens when they leave the region. I don't like NKC's offense enough to pick them. Really, really liked what I saw if briefly at Kearney the other night but know St. Mary's is a whole other level of HSFB but NO team is invincible they certainly have shown that out of state and CBC got bombed by ESL so "think" they could be had in the right circumstances, too.

The huge wild card in all HSFB come November/December is the WEATHER. We are all way overdue for some adversity in that regard.
Center needs to play someone as athletic/physical as Smithville and Kearney before I would ever be convinced they can win. I could see them getting some plays especially first half but, as game rolls on, they could wear down. Smithville-Kearney (99.999 percent chance it happens) still looks total tossup to me maybe the most difficult game to gauge of all potential playoff biggies.
 
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Class 6- Troy Upsets Desmet in district Championship game, and Upsets the Winner of District 3

Class 5- Jackson Upsets the Winner of District 2 in the Quarterfinals Francis Howell upsets Carthage in the Sectionals.

Class 4- Bolivar takes District 6 Championship, Hillsboro will give St Mary's a run for their money in the Quarterfinals but St Mary's wins by 3 TD's

Class 3- St Pius X (KC) takes district 8 championship and upsets Pleasant Hill in the Quarterfinals, Lutheran North Upsets Lutheran St Charles in the District Championship Game and Upsets the Winner of D7 or D8 in the sectionals

Class 2- Blair Oaks wins State Championship

Class 1- don't see a upset happening in this class Monroe City vs East Buchanan in the state Championship Game
 
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Curious what you have seen or know about Bolivar that makes you predict them to win that district? I definitely think that West Plains could be primed for an upset this year. But not sure I would pick Bolivar as the one to do it.
 
WP is down this year, but their district is so bad this year, that it doesn’t matter. They’ll make it to the quarters. And that’s where it will end.

8-4, I’m calling it.
 
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Class 6- Troy Upsets Desmet in district Championship game, and Upsets the Winner of District 3

Class 5- Jackson Upsets the Winner of District 2 in the Quarterfinals Francis Howell upsets Carthage in the Sectionals.

Class 4- Bolivar takes District 6 Championship, Hillsboro will give St Mary's a run for their money in the Quarterfinals but St Mary's wins by 3 TD's

Class 3- St Pius X (KC) takes district 8 championship and upsets Pleasant Hill in the Quarterfinals, Lutheran North Upsets Lutheran St Charles in the District Championship Game and Upsets the Winner of D7 or D8 in the sectionals

Class 2- Blair Oaks wins State Championship

Class 1- don't see a upset happening in this class Monroe City vs East Buchanan in the state Championship Game
This isn’t really predictions overall. It’s upsets. BO isn’t an upset. It’s the most likely outcome. LC/Lamar/BG/Seneca would be upsets. Any of those teams has chances to varying degrees. But would be technically an upset.

My tigers currently would be a slight upset, your Hannibal boys would be a decent sized upset.
 
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Class 6- Troy Upsets Desmet in district Championship game, and Upsets the Winner of District 3

Class 5- Jackson Upsets the Winner of District 2 in the Quarterfinals Francis Howell upsets Carthage in the Sectionals.

Class 4- Bolivar takes District 6 Championship, Hillsboro will give St Mary's a run for their money in the Quarterfinals but St Mary's wins by 3 TD's

Class 3- St Pius X (KC) takes district 8 championship and upsets Pleasant Hill in the Quarterfinals, Lutheran North Upsets Lutheran St Charles in the District Championship Game and Upsets the Winner of D7 or D8 in the sectionals

Class 2- Blair Oaks wins State Championship

Class 1- don't see a upset happening in this class Monroe City vs East Buchanan in the state Championship Game
I cannot, for the life of me, figure out Pius this year. Key pre-district game for them this Friday vs. Savannah.
 
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I can only speak to class 2. This isn't an upset prediction, more of a non-expert analysis, sorry of its the wrong thread. I think this is a year with more parity than maybe I have ever seen in Class 2.

Blair Oaks and Lamar appear to have a clear path to the semifinal.

Lafayette County appears to have their best team in years, but they must get through Richmond in their own district. The reg season matchup between these two was really close on LC's home turf, so I sure don't think it's a given that LC wins their district. The winner however does likely meet Bowling Green in the qtr final. It's hard for me to get on the BG bandwagon, as I have heard it the last several years. Their schedule is super weak, and they only have 1 dist championship in the last several years. I think the LC/Richmond winner demolishes them in the qtr to then face Blair Oaks in the semi, and would likely have home field advantage being on the bottom of the bracket.

In all likelihood Liberty MV and Seneca cruise through their districts only to face each other likely in Seneca. I think this could be a great game, and could prob go either way. The winner likely faces Lamar in Lamar. The brotherhood's record at home on November Saturday afternoons is pretty good, but again will likely be a tremendous game whoever it is. Seneca has already beaten Lamar this year in Seneca, and Liberty MV has been waiting for years to avenge their qtr final losses to Lamar from 2011-2016 and 2020. Any of those three teams could go on to the championship.

Either way the final four will be four great, well coached teams with no clear favorite or slouch in my opinion. BO is probably the least physical, but no pushovers either, and are likely the most athletic. LC/Richmond have good size and physicality with a few athletes mixed in. MVL/Lamar/Seneca are teams that can't wait to punch whoever they play right in the mouth. Lamar and BO obviously have the most playoff experience of the 6 top teams, but sometimes the newness is a motivational advantage on a championship run.

It would be great to see Lamar and BO in the championship on the 10th anniversary of their last matchup, one of the greatest HS football games I have ever seen. However it shakes out, November is going to be fun in Class 2!
 
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I can only speak to class 2. This isn't an upset prediction, more of a non-expert analysis, sorry of its the wrong thread. I think this is a year with more parity than maybe I have ever seen in Class 2.

Blair Oaks and Lamar appear to have a clear path to the semifinal.

Lafayette County appears to have their best team in years, but they must get through Richmond in their own district. The reg season matchup between these two was really close on LC's home turf, so I sure don't think it's a given that LC wins their district. The winner however does likely meet Bowling Green in the qtr final. It's hard for me to get on the BG bandwagon, as I have heard it the last several years. Their schedule is super weak, and they only have 1 dist championship in the last several years. I think the LC/Richmond winner demolishes them in the qtr to then face Blair Oaks in the semi, and would likely have home field advantage being on the bottom of the bracket.

In all likelihood Liberty MV and Seneca cruise through their districts only to face each other likely in Seneca. I think this could be a great game, and could prob go either way. The winner likely faces Lamar in Lamar. The brotherhood's record at home on November Saturday afternoons is pretty good, but again will likely be a tremendous game whoever it is. Seneca has already beaten Lamar this year in Seneca, and Liberty MV has been waiting for years to avenge their qtr final losses to Lamar from 2011-2016 and 2020. Any of those three teams could go on to the championship.

Either way the final four will be four great, well coached teams with no clear favorite or slouch in my opinion. BO is probably the least physical, but no pushovers either, and are likely the most athletic. LC/Richmond have good size and physicality with a few athletes mixed in. MVL/Lamar/Seneca are teams that can't wait to punch whoever they play right in the mouth. Lamar and BO obviously have the most playoff experience of the 6 top teams, but sometimes the newness is a motivational advantage on a championship run.

It would be great to see Lamar and BO in the championship on the 10th anniversary of their last matchup, one of the greatest HS football games I have ever seen. However it shakes out, November is going to be fun in Class 2!
Amazing game and would be a blast. BO is really good this year seems like a possible matchup for sure.
 
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Be careful with the thought that MV Liberty cruises through their district. You cannot over look Ava. I know they have been banged up but they can put things together to cause them some issues. Then they will have to take on Mtn Grove more than likely in the championship. Grove and Liberty have been quite the rivalry over the last 10 years. I am sure Grove would like nothing more than to be overlooked in that district. And Liberty has always struggled once the weather changes in the season. Liberty is definitely the favorite, but it will not be easy.
 
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Be careful with the thought that MV Liberty cruises through their district. You cannot over look Ava. I know they have been banged up but they can put things together to cause them some issues. Then they will have to take on Mtn Grove more than likely in the championship. Grove and Liberty have been quite the rivalry over the last 10 years. I am sure Grove would like nothing more than to be overlooked in that district. And Liberty has always struggled once the weather changes in the season. Liberty is definitely the favorite, but it will not be easy.
I think after keeping up with the SCA this year it’s down, and Seneca won’t have much trouble no matter which team comes out of it. That seems pretty certain.
 
As a whole the SCA is definitely down. But Liberty if they make it out has the athletes IMO to give Seneca some issues. Seneca would be the favorite and I would expect them to wear down Liberty overall.
 
As a whole the SCA is definitely down. But Liberty if they make it out has the athletes IMO to give Seneca some issues. Seneca would be the favorite and I would expect them to wear down Liberty overall.
They can wear down the secondary. After watching teams adjust the defense isn’t that great. I think LMV can give them a game. But weather needs to stay away. Jackson Mars would have to be stopped. Only Lamar has contained him this year.
 
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Be careful with the thought that MV Liberty cruises through their district. You cannot over look Ava. I know they have been banged up but they can put things together to cause them some issues. Then they will have to take on Mtn Grove more than likely in the championship. Grove and Liberty have been quite the rivalry over the last 10 years. I am sure Grove would like nothing more than to be overlooked in that district. And Liberty has always struggled once the weather changes in the season. Liberty is definitely the favorite, but it will not be easy.
Totally agree. Them cruising through is probably the wrong choice of words. I am just going off the fact that Liberty beat them both rather handily.
 
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Finally decided to hop on here and offer some of my expert insight on Northeast Missouri football. Not much of a Bowling Green fan but they are 100% legit this year. They cannot help their weak schedule. They will absolutely not get blown out in any game against a class 2 oppenent, especially the LC game. Just my opinion.
 
Finally decided to hop on here and offer some of my expert insight on Northeast Missouri football. Not much of a Bowling Green fan but they are 100% legit this year. They cannot help their weak schedule. They will absolutely not get blown out in any game against a class 2 oppenent, especially the LC game. Just my opinion.
No one is saying they would. Starks is the best RB in class 2. Possibly top 3 in the state imo. But they have one hell of a tough path, LC and then most likely BO.
 
No one is saying they would. Starks is the best RB in class 2. Possibly top 3 in the state imo. But they have one hell of a tough path, LC and then most likely BO.
"The winner however does likely meet Bowling Green in the qtr final. It's hard for me to get on the BG bandwagon, as I have heard it the last several years. Their schedule is super weak, and they only have 1 dist championship in the last several years. I think the LC/Richmond winner demolishes them in the qtr to then face Blair Oaks in the semi, and would likely have home field advantage being on the bottom of the bracket."

That is what I was referring to from above. That aint happening.
 
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"The winner however does likely meet Bowling Green in the qtr final. It's hard for me to get on the BG bandwagon, as I have heard it the last several years. Their schedule is super weak, and they only have 1 dist championship in the last several years. I think the LC/Richmond winner demolishes them in the qtr to then face Blair Oaks in the semi, and would likely have home field advantage being on the bottom of the bracket."

That is what I was referring to from above. That aint happening.
Ok. I missed that. Yeah, I would find it hard to believe that would happen. If BG makes crucial mistakes on a few drives that results in turnovers? Maybe if it’s BO it gets out of hand. But I think they will and could give anyone a game.
 
I don't think people understand Bowling Green returned most on its starters. They have a very good senior class and a strong sophomore to support them which is important in the lower classes. Don't let their schedule fool you, they are physical and they have probably the best running back in class 2.
 
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I don't think people understand Bowling Green returned most on its starters. They have a very good senior class and a strong sophomore to support them which is important in the lower classes. Don't let their schedule fool you, they are physical and they have probably the best running back in class 2.
Huh? Something we agree on. But I would say in class 2 he is the best.
 
"The winner however does likely meet Bowling Green in the qtr final. It's hard for me to get on the BG bandwagon, as I have heard it the last several years. Their schedule is super weak, and they only have 1 dist championship in the last several years. I think the LC/Richmond winner demolishes them in the qtr to then face Blair Oaks in the semi, and would likely have home field advantage being on the bottom of the bracket."

That is what I was referring to from above. That aint happening.
Hope they are as advertised! I will be the first admit I was wrong if the hold their own, but again, have heard this about them and Palmyra for years. This is why they play the game! Gonna be fun regardless.....
 
Most defnitely. A team can look unstoppable with they are overpowering their competition like BG has been doing weekly. Though we have seen so many times where a team then finally faces adversity and we see a night and day difference in a team. Do I think that is the case with BG.. no. The way they faced big opponents last year in STL and knowing this is mostly the same crew tells me adversity will hit them but they will not have a deer and headlights moment. They will be a tough out no matter who they play in C2 and I truly believe they will get past LC, Centralia, Richmond, who ever and meet up with BO at Thanksgiving.
 
Most defnitely. A team can look unstoppable with they are overpowering their competition like BG has been doing weekly. Though we have seen so many times where a team then finally faces adversity and we see a night and day difference in a team. Do I think that is the case with BG.. no. The way they faced big opponents last year in STL and knowing this is mostly the same crew tells me adversity will hit them but they will not have a deer and headlights moment. They will be a tough out no matter who they play in C2 and I truly believe they will get past LC, Centralia, Richmond, who ever and meet up with BO at Thanksgiving.
Higginsville (LC) is built to win in November and the SR QB is on a mission. Give me them vs. BO in that semi.
 
I can only speak to class 2. This isn't an upset prediction, more of a non-expert analysis, sorry of its the wrong thread. I think this is a year with more parity than maybe I have ever seen in Class 2.

Blair Oaks and Lamar appear to have a clear path to the semifinal.

Lafayette County appears to have their best team in years, but they must get through Richmond in their own district. The reg season matchup between these two was really close on LC's home turf, so I sure don't think it's a given that LC wins their district. The winner however does likely meet Bowling Green in the qtr final. It's hard for me to get on the BG bandwagon, as I have heard it the last several years. Their schedule is super weak, and they only have 1 dist championship in the last several years. I think the LC/Richmond winner demolishes them in the qtr to then face Blair Oaks in the semi, and would likely have home field advantage being on the bottom of the bracket.

In all likelihood Liberty MV and Seneca cruise through their districts only to face each other likely in Seneca. I think this could be a great game, and could prob go either way. The winner likely faces Lamar in Lamar. The brotherhood's record at home on November Saturday afternoons is pretty good, but again will likely be a tremendous game whoever it is. Seneca has already beaten Lamar this year in Seneca, and Liberty MV has been waiting for years to avenge their qtr final losses to Lamar from 2011-2016 and 2020. Any of those three teams could go on to the championship.

Either way the final four will be four great, well coached teams with no clear favorite or slouch in my opinion. BO is probably the least physical, but no pushovers either, and are likely the most athletic. LC/Richmond have good size and physicality with a few athletes mixed in. MVL/Lamar/Seneca are teams that can't wait to punch whoever they play right in the mouth. Lamar and BO obviously have the most playoff experience of the 6 top teams, but sometimes the newness is a motivational advantage on a championship run.

It would be great to see Lamar and BO in the championship on the 10th anniversary of their last matchup, one of the greatest HS football games I have ever seen. However it shakes out, November is going to be fun in Class 2!
Blair Oaks coaching staff has stressed being more physical for a year and a half, it is something they concentrated on in the off-season, and they have been notably more physical this year on both lines. I think the only way to beat them is to outscore them in a shootout, and I don't see that happening.
 
Blair Oaks coaching staff has stressed being more physical for a year and a half, it is something they concentrated on in the off-season, and they have been notably more physical this year on both lines. I think the only way to beat them is to outscore them in a shootout, and I don't see that happening.
Will be a tall order. But there’s a few physical teams in class 2. Even defensively. I’d say BO is the fav at this point. They look the part to. But I don’t think it’s a sure fire done deal though. They can get a game out of LC or if LC really shows up for it a nail bitter. Call it biased if you want? (and even I as a fan think BO is the fav) but I don’t think you can just count out Lamar. Could end up being that way. Absolutely. But it’s not sure fire imo
 
Will be a tall order. But there’s a few physical teams in class 2. Even defensively. I’d say BO is the fav at this point. They look the part to. But I don’t think it’s a sure fire done deal though. They can get a game out of LC or if LC really shows up for it a nail bitter. Call it biased if you want? (and even I as a fan think BO is the fav) but I don’t think you can just count out Lamar. Could end up being that way. Absolutely. But it’s not sure fire imo
I agree, not a sure thing, but I think there is a fine line you have to walk to beat BO this year which would be long sustained drives that run the clock and keep the BO offense off of the field. Class 2 does have some really good teams who can compete with BO. It is definitely not a situation like class 3 last year when St. Marys was an absolute lock. Class 2 playoffs should be fun to watch.
 
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I agree, not a sure thing, but I think there is a fine line you have to walk to beat BO this year which would be long sustained drives that run the clock and keep the BO offense off of the field. Class 2 does have some really good teams who can compete with BO. It is definitely not a situation like class 3 last year when St. Marys was an absolute lock. Class 2 playoffs should be fun to watch.
At least on Blair Oaks side of the bracket. It's totally stacked.
 
I agree, not a sure thing, but I think there is a fine line you have to walk to beat BO this year which would be long sustained drives that run the clock and keep the BO offense off of the field. Class 2 does have some really good teams who can compete with BO. It is definitely not a situation like class 3 last year when St. Marys was an absolute lock. Class 2 playoffs should be fun to watch.
I agree. Should be fun.
 
I only know KC so here are my upset picks that I think are a possibility. 810varsity has preliminary playoffs laid out if you are interested.

Class 6- Ray Pec beats Nixa in second round.
Class 5- NKC in a second round upset of either Fort or Oak Park. Just lost to both in close games and will want revenge.
Class 4- Really want to pick Center in sectional upset of Smithville/Kearney but I've seen how well coached both are and they will be prepared. Kearney over St.Marys is my upset pick even though I don't personally think that is an upset.
Class 3- District 8 winner knocks out Pleasant Hill in sectionals.
Class 2- Lafayette County wins state championship.
Class 1- Don't follow close enough.
I'm going to be upset about MSHSAA bleeding poor folks dry to watch their kids play a game.

100% bookmarket.
 
At least on Blair Oaks side of the bracket. It's totally stacked.
Yep, but Blair Oaks' two non-conference games were against bangers, and they blew out every team in the Tri-county conference with a running clock. The Tri-County conference has 4 teams playing for district championships, and another team missed out by 1 point.

Maybe BO will get winded and worn down if they have to play 4 quarters with a normal clock(which they really haven't had since weeks 1 and 2). Or if they have to play under the pressure of a tight game maybe they make some mistakes, but I don't think that is going to happen, I think they get it done as long as Hair is healthy.
 
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Yep, but Blair Oaks' two non-conference games were against bangers, and they blew out every team in the Tri-county conference with a running clock. The Tri-County conference has 4 teams playing for district championships, and another team missed out by 1 point.

Maybe BO will get winded and worn down if they have to play 4 quarters with a normal clock(which they really haven't had since weeks 1 and 2). Or if they have to play under the pressure of a tight game maybe they make some mistakes, but I don't think that is going to happen, I think they get it done as long as Hair is healthy.
Never said they won't win it all, just pointing out their side of the bracket is MUCH tougher than the other side. No reasonable person can say it's not.

As I said last night, Bowling Green is averaging over 60 points a game. The vast majority of those points are in the first half as they call off the dogs with running clocks in the second half. If Blair Oaks manages to blow them out they really have done something. I think if this game happens it will be a high scoring affair with Blair Oaks winning by a couple of scores. I also think it will be their toughest test, no disrespect intended to Lamar or whomever survives the other side.
 
Yep, but Blair Oaks' two non-conference games were against bangers, and they blew out every team in the Tri-county conference with a running clock. The Tri-County conference has 4 teams playing for district championships, and another team missed out by 1 point.

Maybe BO will get winded and worn down if they have to play 4 quarters with a normal clock(which they really haven't had since weeks 1 and 2). Or if they have to play under the pressure of a tight game maybe they make some mistakes, but I don't think that is going to happen, I think they get it done as long as Hair is healthy.
I personally have BO winning state. But I don’t think it can be stated enough on here that total points scored can only mean so much. Just for stating that on the onset. Lamar, BO, BG, and LC all could’ve scored 60-70 points against most opposition. (BG absolutely and they did)

BUT I don’t think BG schedule is good at all. Lamar’s sucked outside of 2-3 games, and BO had three imo pretty good-real teams scheduled. LN and Maryville and Hallsville has been a great team the past few years. Not taking anything away from BG, but they haven’t been really tested. They destroyed CC both matchups. I think that’s still the best team they played this year. (They ended the year 5-6)

LC bested Richmond for an impressive win. It’s really BO to lose. Instead of believing Lamar has a good shot if they were healthy, I believe they could if everything goes right but most likely will come up short. BO and Lamar both have the experience. Let’s see where things end up. Can’t overlook the been there done that factor.

Well coached teams can make things interesting though. We got November football, this will be exciting. Nothing beats this time of the year.
 
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Center needs to play someone as athletic/physical as Smithville and Kearney before I would ever be convinced they can win. I could see them getting some plays especially first half but, as game rolls on, they could wear down. Smithville-Kearney (99.999 percent chance it happens) still looks total tossup to me maybe the most difficult game to gauge of all potential playoff biggies.
Lmao correction smithville hasn’t seen a team as athletic as center. You’ve got it all wrong it’s like plumbers vs real athletes… get ready for smith like to pack the bags
 
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