Home prices reached an all time high in April, but the number of sales is falling. So the real estate market is in trouble too. The inflated prices to buy necessities are so high that broadly, people can't afford housing. People with subprime mortgages are falling behind. Consumers are falling behind on car loans and credit cards. Credit has been extraordinarily loose again, in the hopes that the market will boost prices beyond what the mortgage is worth, and mortgages are flipping upside down. This just happened in 2007-08. The share of subprime credit card loans and personal loans at least 60 days late are rising according Equifax which is credit reporting agency. As a result of the Federal Reserve indication to jack up interest rates, we are going to see more defaults. This means prices on real estate will go down, which results in more flips. More people will be upside down on mortgages. So sadly we could be watching another real estate bubble burst. Also subprime car loans and leases in default reached an all time high in February. The pandemic benefits and child tax credits have run out for subprime borrowers. People that don't have savings are choosing to pay for essentials instead of their credit debt. Wells Fargo and Equifax are reporting these facts in a number of publications.
Anecdotally, I recently took out a home equity loan on my home that's been paid off for 20 years. I wanted to be a cash buyer on a property I wanted. The folks that were competing with me on the property were trying to secure loans at $40,000 over the asking price, and the number of competitors is astonishing. Since I had cash, I paid $20,000 over the price of the property, because I told them I would walk. Young buyers typically can't do this, or the kids that have children that need a home the most are going to suffer. We are still in the best credit environment in our lifetime but inflation will constrain the ability to pay. The price range of homes available for young families are not available very long, and they're few and far between. Frankly, I can't imagine building one either. Lumber prices, wow.