So who wins tonight between Ava vs Lebanon and Fair Grove vs West Plains?
They are both very close matchups... Ava doesnt have anyone to guard McCowan one on one like most teams don't and Lebanon lacks outside shooting and ball handling/quickness from the guards so maybe Ava should zone and put some full court pressure on the Lebanon guards here and there. McCowan is playing a little further out this season with Shockley around, something I thought she should have been doing more of her first three seasons since that's how she will play in college. She made a couple of 3's last night, but Lebanon, based on one game I watched part of and what I've heard from others, has no other outside threats really. Make 'em prove it from outside... Ava is the better perimeter shooting team, though they were a little off last night so I think they will have to make some 3's and maybe get some transition points to beat Lebanon bc Mendel might have a tougher time scoring than normal inside vs Shockley/McCowan. Both teams lack depth, especially Ava, so staying out of foul trouble is key. If Mendel gets in foul trouble, they will be in trouble against a team with two good bigs.
I predict the difference of the game is Ava guards and they win a close one.
Fair Grove vs West Plains is another great matchup. Joyner vs Green in a battle of bigs. Joyner for WP really impressed me last night, she scored some right in Mendel's face inside and can score from anywhere. Fair Grove is young but experienced, their core has been together for 2-3 seasons now and they are pretty balanced. This is a really tough call... Both teams like to press so it may come down to who handles it better. Fair Grove has home court advantage, but West Plains has Joyner and Womack coaching them, so I think they win a close one over FG.
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