Infections up to 55x more than reported...

[you_dont_know_me]

Duck will hate this... but here you go... (maybe it's not 80x like the previous study, but we all know the math on these models has been super precise to this point)

https://www.foxnews.com/health/coro...ows-hundreds-of-thousands-l-a-county-infected

 

[you_dont_know_me]

I did read this comment.... and glad you have admitted you are ducky. (if you hadn't already)

 

[Neutron Monster]

This study is garbage, and you should ignore it for two reasons:

1. The sample isn't random. They publicly solicited people to come get tested. In a country where it is hard to get tested, guess who shows up for a test? Disproportionately, people who thought they had the rona.

2. The math isn't even right; they're not appropriately reflecting the implications of the test's false positive rate on their model, causing them to assume too many people are infected even based upon the biased sample they gathered.

 

[bullitpdq68]

Thoughts on this one Neutron?

https://www.businessinsider.com/tes...er-sailors-coronavirus-had-no-symptoms-2020-4

 

[Neutron Monster]

Thoughts on this one Neutron?

https://www.businessinsider.com/tes...er-sailors-coronavirus-had-no-symptoms-2020-4

There's ample, ample evidence that people are infected who don't have major symptoms, often with results somewhat similar to this.

The challenge with deriving exact numbers from this sample is some people tested positive may have had symptoms later, and giving them the results may bias their results.

Note that an aircraft carrier has a median age that begins with a two for the people on the boat? Would be interesting to see a split between young adults and those over 40.