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Classification

I hear more and more that Webb will be 5A next year....is that the case?
I have been hearing that for a decade. Class 5 is the catch all, and I keep hearing of small rural programs that are struggling to field teams. As I understand it, unless they change the classification system overall, for each of those small teams that drop, it's one less class 5 team, and one more team that WC would have to leapfrog to get into class 5. I don't know who all is between them and C5 or their enrollment trends, but it's doubtful they will overtake Carthage this cycle, which is a likely candidate to get pulled back down, depending on how many teams drop.
 
I hear more and more that Webb will be 5A next year....is that the case?
Apparently I had nothing better to do last night and was looking at the enrollment numbers from DESE. I noticed several schools with declining 2015 enrollments that would appear to fall below Webb City. Kearney, Rolla, Farmington, Parkway West, Smith Cotton, Belton. All but Kearney are currently c5. The current two smallest in c5, Glendale and Carthage have both grown since the last cycle, so that makes me think they are less likely to fall back to c4. Grandview was the only school I spotted that appeared to jump WC.

Some of those number seem odd though, particularly Belton... 2015 showing a loss of 380 students since 2013. So I am not sure if there is something missing with some of those schools...they are all public so I don't know of any multiplier that would affect them. Rolla also showed a substantial loss, but the data there shows enrollment that has been declining for about 10 years.

So depending on how many were to drop out the bottom and assuming those numbers are more or less what mshsaa uses, it does seem conceivable that Webb could move up.
 
Well since Lamar plays in Kansas a lot we just thought would make it easier for you guys up there :)

Lamar enrollment??? DESE on September 3rd. enrollment shows 425. That would bump them up????

What did they turn in.
 
Apparently I had nothing better to do last night and was looking at the enrollment numbers from DESE. I noticed several schools with declining 2015 enrollments that would appear to fall below Webb City. Kearney, Rolla, Farmington, Parkway West, Smith Cotton, Belton. All but Kearney are currently c5. The current two smallest in c5, Glendale and Carthage have both grown since the last cycle, so that makes me think they are less likely to fall back to c4. Grandview was the only school I spotted that appeared to jump WC.

Some of those number seem odd though, particularly Belton... 2015 showing a loss of 380 students since 2013. So I am not sure if there is something missing with some of those schools...they are all public so I don't know of any multiplier that would affect them. Rolla also showed a substantial loss, but the data there shows enrollment that has been declining for about 10 years.

So depending on how many were to drop out the bottom and assuming those numbers are more or less what mshsaa uses, it does seem conceivable that Webb could move up.

You have to remember some of those schools have enrollment for 10-12 so they are adjusted for 4 year enrollment. WC was 1176 last cycle. With the schools dropping out I think WC would have to have about 1275-1300 students to move up next cycle and that will not happen. Farmington was 1165 last cycle, already below WC.

I think the likely scenario you will see is WC,Kearney and Farmington all staying Class 4, Glendale,Carthage down to C4 and depending on how many other teams drop out, Parkway West, Rolla and maybe Ft Zumwalt East drop down to C4 as well.

Bottom line unless some school districts are rapidly growing I think very few programs are moving up. The one exception is I could see Monett moving up to Class 4 jumping past some C4 teams moving down to C3.
 
Well since Lamar plays in Kansas a lot we just thought would make it easier for you guys up there :)
Just a pet peeve of mine. Back in the day, we used to do alot of playing in Kansas, but it wasn't football. Legal drinking age was 18 over there, back then.
 
You have to remember some of those schools have enrollment for 10-12 so they are adjusted for 4 year enrollment. WC was 1176 last cycle. With the schools dropping out I think WC would have to have about 1275-1300 students to move up next cycle and that will not happen. Farmington was 1165 last cycle, already below WC.

I think the likely scenario you will see is WC,Kearney and Farmington all staying Class 4, Glendale,Carthage down to C4 and depending on how many other teams drop out, Parkway West, Rolla and maybe Ft Zumwalt East drop down to C4 as well.

Bottom line unless some school districts are rapidly growing I think very few programs are moving up. The one exception is I could see Monett moving up to Class 4 jumping past some C4 teams moving down to C3.


Yeah Monett is growing still not sure if the growth will be enough to jump us up there. I think we are around 730 but about 5-6 teams below us have either gone to 8 man or quit all together. See what happens.
 
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